If I vote ReformUK Won’t It Let labour In?
I get asked about this quite a lot. In our two party system, which has been established for a long time, it is the common trope used to keep people voting for the right parties.
Fear of the opposition is an easier sell than trying to promote positive policies for your own party.
What the Tories are saying when they trot out this argument is as follows: “We know we are useless but they will be worse than we are.”
The maths doesn’t support labour getting in, in the Mid Bedfordshire constituency.
The most votes a labour candidate has ever got is 17,000. Interestingly, the most they received was 2017 under Corbyn, almost 1000 more than 1997 peak Blair.
The Tories got 38,000 in 2019 against Labour on 14,000.
My view is that you could take 20,000 off the Tories and they would still have 18,000 and be in second place & that assumes that you wouldn’t take a single vote off Labour as well.
I believe that I will need 20,000 votes to be elected. This assumes that I can convince existing Tory voters to switch horses for the next General Election.
There are over 30,000 non voters in the constituency and I am doing what I can to encourage them to re-engage with our political process.
I will keep pushing as hard as I can to attract as much support in the constituency as I can. I need my supporters to connect with me, via email newsletter, on Facebook, WhatsApp or Telegram. The more support I can demonstrate, the more it will convince other undecideds to lend me their support.
I believe that there is a tipping point for support and when we reach it, then we can carry a majority.
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